{"id":2547,"date":"2026-05-17T13:26:30","date_gmt":"2026-05-17T10:26:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/firatn.com\/kur\/?p=2547"},"modified":"2026-05-17T13:26:30","modified_gmt":"2026-05-17T10:26:30","slug":"suriya-pisti-rakirina-cezayan-cima-danustandinen-siyasi-veneguherin-basbuneke-abori","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/firatn.com\/kur\/?p=2547","title":{"rendered":"S\u00fbr\u00eeya pi\u015ft\u00ee rakirina cezayan: \u00c7ima dan\u00fbstandin\u00ean s\u00eeyas\u00ee veneguher\u00een ba\u015fb\u00fbneke abor\u00ee?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bi Ereb\u00ee<\/a> <\/strong>peyda ye<\/p>\n

Lezg\u00een \u00cebarh\u00eem \u2013 L\u00eakoler li Navenda Firat\u00ea ya L\u00eakol\u00eenan<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hik\u00fbmeta n\u00fb ya S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea, bi serokat\u00eeya Ehmed El-\u015earaa, di navbera gotara xwe ya s\u00eeyas\u00ee de, ku soza vegera S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea bo qada her\u00eam\u00ee \u00fb veb\u00fbna li ser veberh\u00eanan \u00fb bazar\u00ean c\u00eehan\u00ee, \u00fb \u015fert \u00fb merc\u00ean abor\u00ee \u00fb j\u00eeyan\u00ea y\u00ean her ku di\u00e7e xirabtir dibin, nakok\u00eeyeke tund dij\u00ee. Her \u00e7end\u00ee axaftina li ser jin\u00fbve-avakirin\u00ea, veb\u00fbna li ser Ewropay\u00ea, rakirina cezay\u00ean Qeyser, ger\u00ean Kendav\u00ea \u00fb pi\u015ftgir\u00eeya Tirk\u00eeye, Qeter \u00fb Si\u00fbd\u00eey\u00ea w\u00eaneyek medyay\u00ee \u00e7\u00eakir\u00eeye ku dide xuyakirin va ye welat li ber veguher\u00eenek mezin a abor\u00ee ye, l\u00ea rast\u00eeya li ser erd\u00ea e\u015fkere dike ku ba\u015fb\u00fbn bandor li j\u00eeyana rojane ya S\u00fbr\u00eeyan nekir\u00eeye. Soz\u00ean dervey\u00ee veneguher\u00eene herik\u00eena daray\u00ee ya t\u00earker, her wiha bawer\u00eeya navnetewey\u00ee \u00fb her\u00eam\u00ee bi ewleh\u00ee, r\u00eaveber\u00ee, n\u00fbner\u00eeya s\u00eeyas\u00ee \u00fb \u015f\u00eeyana r\u00eavebirina dewletek\u00ea ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ye, ne ten\u00ea bi desthilatdar\u00eeyek\u00ea ve. Ev yek pirseke bingeh\u00een bi xwe re t\u00eene: \u00c7ima rakirina cezayan \u00fb veb\u00fbna s\u00eeyas\u00ee veneguher\u00eeye ba\u015fb\u00fbnek di rew\u015fa abor\u00ee de? Sedem\u00ean navxwey\u00ee \u00fb dervey\u00ee y\u00ean xetim\u00eena abor\u00eeya S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea \u00e7i ne?<\/p>\n

Kr\u00eez Desthilatdar\u00ee ye yan Kr\u00eeza \u00c7avkan\u00eeyan ye?<\/strong><\/p>\n

N\u00eaz\u00eek\u00ee sal \u00fb n\u00eevek\u00ea pi\u015ft\u00ee hilwe\u015f\u00eena rej\u00eema Esed, \u00fb tev\u00ee rakirina cezay\u00ean Qeyser \u00fb p\u00ea\u015fb\u00een\u00eey\u00ean \u00e7avd\u00earan ku ev yek d\u00ea abor\u00eeya S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea vej\u00eene, berevaj\u00ee v\u00ea yek\u00ea qewim\u00ee. Hik\u00fbmeta s\u00fbr\u00ee abor\u00eeya wel\u00eat wek\u00ee dosyayek ku dikare bi r\u00eaya naskirina s\u00eeyas\u00ee \u00fb soz\u00ean veberh\u00eanan\u00ea ve were vejandin, girt\u00eeye dest, di heman dem\u00ea de kr\u00eeza S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea ji n\u00fb ve avakirina saz\u00eeyan, avakirina ewleh\u00eey\u00ea, qan\u00fbnek veberh\u00eanan\u00ea ya zelal, pergalek daray\u00ee ya zelal \u00fb hik\u00fbmetek ku bikaribe \u00e7avkan\u00eeyan bi awayek\u00ee serbixwe ji tor\u00ean bandor\u00ea bir\u00eave bibe hewce dike. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, rakirina cezay\u00ean Qeyser ji h\u00eala qan\u00fbn\u00ee ve wek\u00ee derfetek gir\u00eeng xuya b\u00fb, l\u00ea ew veneguher\u00ee p\u00ea\u015fve\u00e7\u00fbnek abor\u00ee ya rast\u00een, ji ber ku sermaye na\u00e7e welatek\u00ee ku h\u00een j\u00ee ewleh\u00ee, aram\u00eeya qan\u00fbn\u00ee \u00fb s\u00eeyas\u00ee tune ye.<\/p>\n

l\u00eaveger \u00fb nirxandin\u00ean rojavay\u00ee “xerb\u00ee” \u00a0n\u00ee\u015fan didin ku sivikkirina cezayan qada dan\u00fbstandin\u00ea bi S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea re fireh kir\u00eeye, l\u00ea r\u00eesk\u00ean pabendb\u00fbn\u00ea, cezay\u00ean may\u00ee, fikar\u00ean li ser f\u00eenansmana neqan\u00fbn\u00ee \u00fb j\u00eengeha ewleh\u00eey\u00ea ji hol\u00ea ranekir\u00eeye. Tora Amer\u00eek\u00ee POMEPS[1]<\/a> anal\u00eezek li ser zehmet\u00eeya veguherandina rakirina cezayan bo p\u00eavajoyek ba\u015fb\u00fbn\u00ea ya otomat\u00eek we\u015fand, di heman dem\u00ea de Risk Advisory[2]<\/a>, kompan\u00eeyeke \u00eest\u00eexbarata karsaz\u00eey\u00ea ya li Br\u00eetanyay\u00ea, rave kir ku betalkirina Qan\u00fbna Qeyser asteng\u00eeyeke gir\u00eeng a qan\u00fbn\u00ee ji hol\u00ea radike l\u00ea cudah\u00eey\u00ean di s\u00eestem\u00ean cezayan de an j\u00ee xeterey\u00ean bazara S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea ji hol\u00ea ranake. \u015e\u00eerket\u00ean navnetewey\u00ee ten\u00ea bi perspekt\u00eefa cezayan li j\u00eengeha S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea nan\u00earin, l\u00ea di heman dem\u00ea de bi perspekt\u00eefa ewleh\u00ee, dadwer\u00ee, mulk\u00eeyeta zelal, peyman\u00ean zelal, gef\u00ean ji h\u00eala kom\u00ean \u00e7ekdar ve, biserxweb\u00fbna banka navend\u00ee \u00fb \u015f\u00eeyana hik\u00fbmet\u00ea ya p\u00ea\u015f\u00eegirtina li gendel\u00ee \u00fb \u015fantaja navxwey\u00ee j\u00ee nab\u00eenin. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, ne ec\u00eab b\u00fb ku bandora rakirina cezayan li ser j\u00eeyana S\u00fbr\u00eeyey\u00eeyan s\u00eenordar ma, tev\u00ee gir\u00eeng\u00eeya w\u00ea ya s\u00eeyas\u00ee \u00fb qan\u00fbn\u00ee.<\/p>\n

Wezareta Xez\u00eeney\u00ea ya Dewlet\u00ean Yekb\u00fby\u00ee y\u00ean Amer\u00eekay\u00ea[3]<\/a> di Gulana 2025`an de d\u00eeyar kir ku r\u00eadana Gi\u015ft\u00ee Hejmar 25 sivikkirina berfireh a cezayan peyda kir, l\u00ea cezayan li ser Be\u015far Esed \u00fb hevkar\u00ean w\u00ee, binp\u00eaker\u00ean maf\u00ean mirovan, bazirgan\u00ean Captagon \u00fb kes\u00ean ku bi DAI\u015e, El Qa\u00eede, \u00ceran \u00fb al\u00eegir\u00ean w\u00ea ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ne domand. Ev t\u00ea v\u00ea watey\u00ea ku S\u00fbr\u00eeya ne b\u00fbye bazarek b\u00ea r\u00eesk, l\u00ea bel\u00ea bazarek ku ber\u00ee her veberh\u00eanan\u00ea hewcey\u00ea l\u00eakol\u00eenek qan\u00fbn\u00ee \u00fb daray\u00ee ya bi gir\u00eak \u00a0e. Navenda Belfer[4]<\/a>, navendeke l\u00eakol\u00eenan a akadem\u00eek a Amer\u00eek\u00ee, j\u00ee pi\u015ftrast kir ku rakirina cezayan \u00e7ar\u00e7oveya \u00e7alak\u00eey\u00ean abor\u00ee berfireh dike l\u00ea s\u00eenorkirin \u00fb r\u00eesk\u00ean din \u00ean qan\u00fbn\u00ee ji hol\u00ea ranake.<\/p>\n

Ev yek dide xuyakirin \u00e7ima kompan\u00eey\u00ean navdewlet\u00ee neketin bazar\u00ea wek\u00ee ku ji h\u00eala propagandaya hik\u00fbmet\u00ea ve hat\u00ee n\u00ee\u015fandan. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, rakirina Qan\u00fbna Qeyser di gotara ferm\u00ee de wek\u00ee destkeft\u00eeyek\u00ea xuya b\u00fb, l\u00ea di rast\u00eey\u00ea de, ew neb\u00fb garant\u00eeyek bawer\u00eey\u00ea. V\u00ea yek\u00ea hi\u015ft ku kir\u00eeza s\u00fbr\u00ee bibe kir\u00eezeke bir\u00eaveber\u00ee ya s\u00eeyas\u00ee ne ku kir\u00eezeke cezayan.<\/p>\n

Budceya S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea ya 2026`an bi zelal\u00ee cewher\u00ea kr\u00eez\u00ea e\u015fkere dike. Li gor\u00ee rapor\u00ean Ereb\u00ee[5]<\/a> ji bo 2026`an, l\u00ea\u00e7\u00fbn\u00ean budcey\u00ea digih\u00eejin n\u00eaz\u00eek\u00ee 10.516 m\u00eelyar dolar\u00ee, li gor\u00ee dahat\u00ean texm\u00eenkir\u00ee y\u00ean dora 8.716 m\u00eelyar dolar\u00ee, ku di encam\u00ea de k\u00eamas\u00eeyek bi qas\u00ee 1.799 m\u00eelyar dolar\u00ee, yan j\u00ee n\u00eaz\u00eek\u00ee 5.3% ji berheman\u00eena xwecih\u00ee ya texm\u00eenkir\u00ee \u00e7\u00eadibe. Ev hejmar bandora \u00e7ar\u00e7oveyek daray\u00ee ya ba\u015f-r\u00eaxistinkir\u00ee didin, l\u00ea ew nikarin bersiva pirsa bingeh\u00een bidin: Gelo hik\u00fbmet xwed\u00ee abor\u00eeyek hilber\u00eener e ku dikare xwe f\u00eenanse bike, yan j\u00ee bi soz\u00ean dervey\u00ee, xerc, bac \u00fb desteserkirinan tengav\u00eeyeke pa\u015fxist\u00ee bi r\u00ea ve dibe?<\/p>\n

E\u015fkere ye ku abor\u00eeya S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea di sektor\u00ean hilber\u00eena rast\u00een de jikarket\u00ee maye. \u00c7andin\u00ee, p\u00ee\u015fesaz\u00ee, enerj\u00ee, bank \u00fb bazara kar wek\u00ee pergaleke yekgirt\u00ee kar nakin. Reuters[6]<\/a>e\u015fkere kir ku tev\u00ee ku pi\u015ft\u00ee hilwe\u015f\u00eena Esed, S\u00fbr\u00eeya ber bi rojava “xerib\u00ea” ve \u00e7\u00fbye j\u00ee, ew ji ber hilber\u00eena navxwey\u00ee ya qels \u00fb vebijark\u00ean abor\u00ee y\u00ean s\u00eenordar bi giran\u00ee bi petrola R\u00fbsyay\u00ea ve gir\u00eaday\u00ee ye. \u015eandina petrola R\u00fbsyay\u00ea gih\u00ee\u015ft\u00eeye n\u00eaz\u00eek\u00ee 60,000 berm\u00eelan di roj\u00ea de, di heman dem\u00ea de hilber\u00eena navxwey\u00ee ji 35,000 berm\u00eelan di roj\u00ea de derbas nabe, beramber\u00ee hewcedar\u00eeyeke ni\u015ftiman\u00ee ku dikare bigih\u00eeje 150,000 berm\u00eelan di roj\u00ea de. Ev dane e\u015fkere dikin ku hik\u00fbmet\u00ea h\u00een j\u00ee pol\u00eet\u00eekayek enerj\u00eey\u00ea ya serbixwe ava nekir\u00eeye \u00fb ji gir\u00eadanb\u00fbna ber\u00ea ya bi Tehran\u00ea veguher\u00eeye gir\u00eadanb\u00fbna ne\u00e7ar\u00ee ya bi Moskow\u00ea \u00fb tor\u00ean dab\u00eenkirin\u00ea y\u00ean xeternak ve.<\/p>\n

Gendel\u00ee \u00fb tor\u00ean li pa\u015f perdey\u00ea s\u00eestema dewletb\u00fbn\u00ea daqurte dikin<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kr\u00eeza abor\u00ee bi giran\u00ee ji ber r\u00eaveber\u00eeya qels \u00fb berdewam\u00eeya tor\u00ean li pa\u015f peredy\u00ea derdikeve hol\u00ea. Desthilata n\u00fb ala t\u00eako\u015f\u00eena li dij\u00ee gendel\u00eey\u00ea bilind kir, l\u00ea h\u00een modelek zelal ji bo bir\u00eavebirina mal\u00ea gi\u015ft\u00ee, mekan\u00eezmayek zelal ji bo \u00e7aren\u00fbsa mal \u00fb milk\u00ean desteserkir\u00ee, \u00e7avd\u00ear\u00eeya serbixwe ya peymanan, an garant\u00eeyek rast\u00een p\u00ea\u015fk\u00ea\u015f nekir\u00eeye ku \u00e7avkan\u00ee bi rast\u00ee dikevin xez\u00eeneya dewlet\u00ea ne ya tor\u00ean hevseng. Di v\u00ea \u00e7ar\u00e7ovey\u00ea de, Navenda \u00c7avkan\u00eey\u00ean Dij-Gendel\u00eey\u00ea ya U4 [7]<\/a>anal\u00eezek bi sernav\u00ea “\u00c7aksazkirineke seresere an Guhertineke cewher\u00ee” we\u015fand, \u00fb di encam\u00ea w\u00ea de d\u00eeyar b\u00fb ku bert\u00eelxwarin\u00ean pi\u00e7\u00fbk di s\u00eeya r\u00eaveber\u00eeya veguh\u00eaz de k\u00eam b\u00fbne, l\u00ea pabendb\u00fbna hik\u00fbmet\u00ea ji bo \u00e7aksazkirin\u00ean cewher\u00ee y\u00ean k\u00fbrtir h\u00een j\u00ee ne d\u00eeyar e.<\/p>\n

Ev xala han cewher\u00ee ye, ji ber ku desthilata niha dikare rayedarek\u00ee gendel bigire yan j\u00ee mal\u00fbmilk\u00ean gir\u00eaday\u00ee rej\u00eema ber\u00ea desteser bike, l\u00ea ew nikare bawer\u00eeya abor\u00ee ava bike heya ku zelal neke ka pere di\u00e7in kuder\u00ea, k\u00ee \u00e7avd\u00ear\u00eeya w\u00ea dike \u00fb k\u00ee biryar dide ka ew \u00e7awa t\u00ean xerckirin. Li vir fikra “hik\u00fbmeta li pa\u015f perdey\u00ea” an tor\u00ean hevseng derdikeve hol\u00ea. Her \u00e7end ev tor her gav bi nav\u00ean zelal ney\u00ean belgekirin j\u00ee, n\u00ee\u015faney\u00ean wan \u00ean prat\u00eek\u00ee di nezelal\u00eeya biryar\u00ean daray\u00ee, pirjimar\u00eeya navend\u00ean hegemon, neb\u00fbna b\u00eaal\u00eeb\u00fbn\u00ea \u00fb berjewend\u00eey\u00ean nakok \u00ean navbeynkar\u00ean desthilatdar \u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee de xuya dibin. Ev rave dike \u00e7ima neraz\u00eeb\u00fbn di nav al\u00eegir\u00ean desthilata n\u00fb de j\u00ee z\u00eade dibe; \u00ead\u00ee ew j\u00ee dib\u00eenin ku hilwe\u015f\u00eena rej\u00eema ber\u00ea neb\u00fbye sedema avakirina dewletek dadperwer, l\u00ea dibe ku ten\u00ea hin ji mekan\u00eezmay\u00ean kontrol\u00ea y\u00ean kevin bi r\u00fby\u00ean n\u00fb ji n\u00fb ve hilberandine.<\/p>\n

Ji al\u00eeyek\u00ee din ve, rojnameya S\u00fbr\u00ee Al-Sawra[8]<\/a>destn\u00ee\u015fan kir ku kampanyay\u00ean bex\u015f\u00ee li par\u00eazgeh\u00ean S\u00fbr\u00ee bi r\u00eaya 20 kampanyayan gih\u00ee\u015ftine hejmareke mezin a 1 milyar dolar, 23 milyon \u00fb 472 hezar dolar. L\u00ea bel\u00ea, li \u015f\u00fbna ku bibe n\u00ee\u015faneyek ji bo ba\u015fb\u00fbna abor\u00ee, ev hejmar pirsek s\u00eeyas\u00ee ya berfirehtir der bar\u00ea \u00e7aren\u00fbsa saman \u00fb mekan\u00eezmaya bir\u00eavebirina wan de derxist hol\u00ea, nemaze ji ber ku heman rojnamey\u00ea bal ki\u015fand ser valah\u00eeyek di navbera soz \u00fb destkeft\u00eeyan de, ku ev m\u00eeqdar ten\u00ea r\u00eajeyek pir pi\u00e7\u00fbk ji hewcedar\u00eey\u00ean ji bo ji n\u00fb ve avakirina berfireh vedihew\u00eene. Pirsgir\u00eak aloztir dibe ji ber ku ajansa SANAy\u00ea[9]<\/a> ji Sindoqa Ge\u015fp\u00eadana s\u00fbr\u00ee vegot ku kampanyay\u00ean par\u00eazgeh\u00ea ne be\u015fek ji \u00e7alak\u00ee yan \u00e7avkan\u00eey\u00ean sindoq\u00ea ne. Ev t\u00ea w\u00ea watey\u00ea ku ev perey\u00ean han di ber \u00e7av\u00ean al\u00eeyek\u00ee daray\u00ee y\u00ea navend\u00ee ve derbas neb\u00fbye da ku were \u015fopandan an j\u00ee l\u00eapirs\u00eenkirin. Di fest\u00eeval \u00fb we\u015fan\u00ean zind\u00ee de m\u00eeqdar\u00ean mezin hatin ragihandin, l\u00ea ew neguher\u00een projey\u00ean binesaz\u00eey\u00ea an vejandina hilber\u00een\u00ea ya berbi\u00e7av. Ne d\u00eeyar e ku ev soz\u00ean medyay\u00ea b\u00fbn an perey\u00ean rast\u00een \u00ean hatine berhevkirin b\u00fbn. Ev bi gumanbar\u00eeya Deutsche Welle[10]<\/a> re li hev dike ka ev kampanya h\u00eav\u00eeyek abor\u00ee ya rast\u00een tems\u00eel dikin an ten\u00ea proseseke t\u00eakil\u00eey\u00ean gi\u015ft\u00ee y\u00ean s\u00eeyas\u00ee, ji ber zehmet\u00eeya l\u00eapirs\u00eena serbixwe ya cewher\u00ea bex\u015fan \u00fb ka ew \u00e7awa t\u00eane xerckirin.<\/p>\n

Ewleh\u00ee wek\u00ee asteng\u00eeya her\u00ee mezin a abor\u00eey\u00ea<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ba\u015f t\u00ea zan\u00een ku sermaye nakeve j\u00eengeh \u00fb hawirderek ne ewle. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, valah\u00eeya ewleh\u00eey\u00ea li her\u00eam\u00ean c\u00fbrbec\u00fbr, rew\u015fa xirab a li dever\u00ean ku QSD ji wan veki\u015f\u00eeyaye, \u00fb xetera vej\u00eena DAI\u015e\u00ea – ku ji n\u00fb ve dest bi armancgirtina tanker\u00ean petrol\u00ea li D\u00eara Zor\u00ea kir\u00eeye \u2013 hem\u00fb, bi qas\u00ee ku li ser rew\u015fa s\u00eeyas\u00ee, zext\u00ea li ser abor\u00eey\u00ea j\u00ee dikin. Veberh\u00eaner ne ten\u00ea li paytext\u00ea din\u00earin; ew her weha \u015f\u00eeyana dewlet\u00ea ya kontrolkirina kom\u00ean c\u00fbrbec\u00fbr, parastina milk, p\u00ea\u015f\u00eegirtina li zorbaz\u00eey\u00ea \u00fb \u00e7areserkirina nakok\u00eey\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee j\u00ee dinirx\u00eenin.<\/p>\n

Kovara Amer\u00eek\u00ee Small Wars Journal[11]<\/a> anal\u00eezek li ser xeterey\u00ean DAI\u015e\u00ea pi\u015ft\u00ee veguher\u00een\u00ean li S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea we\u015fand, \u00fb hi\u015fyar\u00ee da ku r\u00eaxistin valah\u00eeya ewleh\u00eey\u00ea bikar t\u00eene. Raport\u00ean Rojavay\u00ee \u00fb NY di Adar \u00fb N\u00eesana 2026an de j\u00ee fikar\u00ean li ser teror\u00eezm \u00fb b\u00eaaram\u00eeya her\u00eam\u00ee wek\u00ee faktor\u00ean ku zext\u00ea li qonaxa veguh\u00eaz a s\u00fbr\u00ee dikin, destn\u00ee\u015fan kirin.<\/p>\n

Di v\u00ea navber\u00ea de, belgey\u00ean budceya Dewlet\u00ean Yekb\u00fby\u00ee y\u00ea Amer\u00eekay\u00ea pi\u015ftrast dikin ku Washington gefa DAI\u015e\u00ea li S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea wek\u00ee dosyayeke bidaw\u00eeb\u00fby\u00ee nab\u00eene. Di belgeya daray\u00ee ya Perwerde \u00fb \u00c7ekkirina Dij\u00ee DAI\u015e\u00ea ya sala 2027an de, Wezareta Parastin\u00ea ya Dewlet\u00ean Yekb\u00fby\u00ee y\u00ean Amer\u00eekay\u00ea[12]<\/a> veqetandina ji bo S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea li 130 milyon dolar\u00ee domand, heman asta sala 2026an, ji bo pi\u015ftgir\u00eeya operasyon\u00ean ji bo “t\u00eakbirina domdar a DAI\u015e\u00ea” bi r\u00eaya hevkar\u00ean her\u00eam\u00ee. Belge n\u00ee\u015fan dide ku armanc ew e ku pi\u015ftgir\u00ee perwerde \u00fb alav, xal\u00ean kontrol\u00ea, dewr\u00eeye, parastina binesaz\u00eey\u00ea, r\u00eaveber\u00eeya s\u00eenor \u00fb ba\u015ftirkirina ewleh\u00eey\u00ea li navend\u00ean ragirtin\u00ea \u00fb kampa el-Hol\u00ea f\u00eenanse bike. Her wiha ew qeb\u00fbl dike ku bermah\u00eey\u00ean DAI\u015e\u00ea \u00ear\u00ee\u015f\u00ean takt\u00eek\u00ee y\u00ean pi\u00e7\u00fbk li dij\u00ee h\u00eaz\u00ean hik\u00fbmeta S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea \u00fb siv\u00eelan li dever\u00ean ku heb\u00fbna ewleh\u00eey\u00ea qels an nelihev e, p\u00eak t\u00eenin.<\/p>\n

Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, di v\u00ea \u00e7ar\u00e7ovey\u00ea de, ji bo hik\u00fbmet\u00ea ne bes e ku kontrola bajarek\u00ee yan der\u00eey\u00ea s\u00eenor ragih\u00eene. Ya ku p\u00eaw\u00eest e afirandina haw\u00eerdorek ewle ye: h\u00eazek pol\u00ees a d\u00ees\u00eepl\u00eenkir\u00ee, dadwer\u00eeyek her\u00eam\u00ee, kontrolkirina bihayan, ewleh\u00eeya r\u00eayan, p\u00ea\u015f\u00eegirtina li revandin \u00fb qa\u00e7ax\u00e7\u00eet\u00eey\u00ea, \u00fb r\u00eaveber\u00eeya dadperwer a dever\u00ean di bin kontrola w\u00ea de. Ger ev dever ji h\u00eala enflasyon\u00ea, b\u00eaqan\u00fbn\u00eey\u00ea \u00fb pevketina desthilatdar\u00eeyan ve tevlihev bim\u00eenin, rewat\u00eeya n\u00fb d\u00ea bi dab\u00eenkirina xizmetan were ceribandin, ne bi dir\u00fb\u015fmeyan.<\/p>\n

\u015eer\u00ea \u00ceran\u00ea hesab\u00ean S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea \u00fb y\u00ean Kendav\u00ea pev re ser\u00fbbin kir<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gera daw\u00ee ya Serok\u00ea S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea Ehmed El-\u015earaa bo Erebistana Si\u00fbd\u00ee, Qeter \u00fb \u00cemarat\u00ean Ereb\u00ee di N\u00eesana 2016an de di demek\u00ea de p\u00eak hat ku \u015eam ji pi\u015ftgir\u00eeya s\u00eeyas\u00ee b\u00eatir pi\u015ftgir\u00eeya daray\u00ee hewce dikir. Dezgeh\u00ean medyay\u00ea y\u00ean ereb\u00ee serdan wek\u00ee gerek ji bo xurtkirina hevkar\u00eey\u00ean abor\u00ee \u00fb hewldan\u00ean ji n\u00fbve-avakirin\u00ea p\u00ea\u015fk\u00ea\u015f kirin, di heman dem\u00ea de saz\u00eey\u00ean rojavay\u00ee ew wek\u00ee hewldanek ji bo misogerkirina pi\u015ftgir\u00eeya abor\u00ee ya rasterast pi\u015ft\u00ee rakirina qeyd\u00ean berfirehtir \u00ean li ser S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea \u015f\u00eerove kirin. L\u00ea bel\u00ea, encam ji t\u00eagih\u00ee\u015ftin \u00fb sozan b\u00eatir derbas nekirin, \u00fb bi d\u00fbr\u00ee herik\u00eena drav\u00ee ya rasterast an sindoq\u00ean jin\u00fbve-avakirin\u00ea man.<\/p>\n

Ev pa\u015fketin e\u015fkere dike ku p\u00fbtep\u00eadana Kendav\u00ea bi S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea b\u00fbye bi \u015fert \u00fb merc \u00fb pa\u015fxist\u00ee. Saz\u00eeya Parastina Demokras\u00eeyan (FDD)[13]<\/a> \u00a0d\u00eet ku gera Serok\u00ea S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea Ehmed El-\u015earaa bo Erebistana Si\u00fbd\u00ee, Qeter \u00fb \u00cemarat\u00ean Ereb\u00ee bi giran\u00ee ji ber zexta abor\u00ee ya li ser \u015eam\u00ea b\u00fb, her wiha h\u00eav\u00eey\u00ean S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea y\u00ean gir\u00eaday\u00ee veberh\u00eanan\u00ean Kendav\u00ea pi\u015ft\u00ee sivikkirina cezayan h\u00een j\u00ee bi r\u00eesk\u00ean qan\u00fbn\u00ee, daray\u00ee \u00fb ewleh\u00eey\u00ea re r\u00fb bi r\u00fb dim\u00eenin, \u00fb \u00ead\u00ee soz\u00ean ji bo pi\u015ftgir\u00eeya daray\u00ee asteng dibin. Bi heman away\u00ee, Associated Press[14]<\/a> anal\u00eezek we\u015fand n\u00ee\u015fan dide ku S\u00fbr\u00eeya hewl dide xwe wek\u00ee kor\u00eedorek ewle \u00fb b\u00eaal\u00ee di nav nakok\u00eeya her\u00eam\u00ee de n\u00ee\u015fan bide, l\u00ea ji h\u00eala abor\u00ee ve ji ber k\u00eamb\u00fbna kar\u00eena welat\u00ean Kendav\u00ea ya ji bo f\u00eenansekirina jin\u00fbve-avakirin\u00ea lawaz dim\u00eene, ji ber ku ev welat ji ber z\u00eadeb\u00fbna rage\u015f\u00eey\u00ean bi \u00ceran\u00ea re b\u00eatir bi ewleh\u00ee \u00fb abor\u00eey\u00ean xwe ve mij\u00fbl dibin.<\/p>\n

Biryara \u00cemarat\u00ea ya veki\u015f\u00eena ji OPEC\u00ea di abor\u00eeya her\u00eam\u00ee de nezelal\u00eey\u00ea z\u00eade dike. Her \u00e7end bandora w\u00ea ya rasterast ji ber aloz\u00eeya \u015fer s\u00eenordar be j\u00ee, ew der\u00ee li ber jin\u00fbve-sazb\u00fbna bazara petrol\u00ea vedike, \u00fb dibe ku li ber \u015ferek\u00ee bihay\u00ea di p\u00ea\u015feroj\u00ea de j\u00ee veke heke hilber\u00eener pi\u015ft\u00ee pev\u00e7\u00fbn\u00ea ji bo para bazar\u00ea d\u00eesa p\u00ea\u015fbaz\u00eey\u00ea bikin. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, ji bo S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea, gir\u00eeng\u00eeya v\u00ea biryar\u00ea ne ten\u00ea di t\u00eakil\u00eeya w\u00ea ya rasterast bi \u015eam\u00ea re ye, l\u00ea di heman dem\u00ea de di rast\u00eeya ku ew e\u015fkere dike ku tevah\u00eeya her\u00eam dikeve qonaxek ji n\u00fb ve bicihkirina abor\u00ee \u00fb enerj\u00eey\u00ea de. Di qonax\u00ean weha de, p\u00ea\u015f\u00een\u00eey\u00ean ne gir\u00eeng pa\u015fve di\u00e7in, \u00fb nirxandin\u00ean ewleh\u00ee, enerj\u00eey\u00ea di p\u00ea\u015f\u00eey\u00ea de ne. Bi v\u00ee reng\u00ee, ne p\u00eakan e ku \u015eam pi\u015ftgir\u00eeyeke daray\u00ee ya kendav\u00ee p\u00ea\u015fb\u00een bike di wextek\u00ee de ku welat\u00ean Kendav\u00ea bixwe \u00ead\u00ee rew\u015fa enerj\u00eeya xwe dinirx\u00eenin \u00fb l\u00ea vedigerin, her wek\u00ee berhemday\u00een, weberh\u00eanan, hevpeyman\u00ee \u00fb l\u00ea\u00e7\u00fbn\u00ean \u015fer.<\/p>\n

Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea \u015fer\u00ea \u00ceran\u00ea \u00ead\u00ee ne ten\u00ea faktorek dervey\u00ee ye, l\u00ea b\u00fbye be\u015fek ji kr\u00eeza navxwey\u00ee ya S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea: ew l\u00ea\u00e7\u00fbna sotemen\u00ee \u00fb xwarin\u00ea z\u00eade dike, derfet\u00ean f\u00eenansmana Kendav\u00ea k\u00eam dike, fikar\u00ean veberh\u00eaneran z\u00eade dike, \u00fb civaka S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea dixe ber zext\u00ea li ser hik\u00fbmetek ku jixwe nikare \u00e7areser\u00eeyan b\u00eene.<\/p>\n

Tirk\u00eeye: Ji pi\u015ftgir\u00eey\u00ea ber bi projeyeke hegemon a abor\u00ee ve<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00eakil\u00eeya bi Tirk\u00eeyey\u00ea re wek\u00ee yek ji al\u00eey\u00ean her\u00ee aloz \u00ean kr\u00eez\u00ea derdikeve hol\u00ea. Enqere xuya dike ku \u015fir\u00eek\u00ea her\u00ee berbi\u00e7av di bazara S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea de ye, l\u00ea kar\u00eena w\u00ea ya daray\u00ee tune ye ku pi\u015ftgir\u00eey\u00ea bide \u015eam\u00ea, \u00fb abor\u00eeya w\u00ea ji enflasyon\u00ea, k\u00eamb\u00fbna nirx\u00ea dirav\u00ee \u00fb y\u00ea yedek zehmet\u00eeyan dik\u00ea\u015fe. Enst\u00eetuya Rojhilata Nav\u00een[15]<\/a> ragihand ku Tirk\u00eeye di sal\u00ean daw\u00ee de bi kr\u00eezek abor\u00ee ya giran re r\u00fb bi r\u00fb maye, di nav de enflasyon, k\u00eamb\u00fbna nirxa l\u00eerey\u00ea, k\u00eamb\u00fbna yedek \u00fb zehmet\u00eeya gih\u00ee\u015ftina sermayeya rojavay\u00ee. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, rola Tirk\u00eeyey\u00ea li S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea ne ewqas wek\u00ee bex\u015fvanek daray\u00ee ya sereke ye, l\u00ea wek\u00ee s\u00fbdmendek bazirgan\u00ee \u00fb stratej\u00eek e.<\/p>\n

Berevaj\u00ee v\u00ea, t\u00eakil\u00eey\u00ean bankay\u00ee \u00fb bazirgan\u00ee y\u00ean di navbera \u015eam \u00fb Enqerey\u00ea de leztir dibin, \u00fb heb\u00fbna Tirk\u00eeyey\u00ea di nav abor\u00eeya S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea de xurt dibe. Reuters[16]<\/a> ragihand ku S\u00fbr\u00eeya n\u00eaz\u00eek\u00ee r\u00eakeftineke ku hesab\u00ea bankay\u00ee y\u00ea muhasebey\u00ea bi Banka Navend\u00ee ya Tirk\u00eeyey\u00ea re veke dibe, \u00fb her du al\u00ee j\u00ee \u00eeht\u00eemala pejirandina r\u00eakeftin\u00ean guheztina dirav\u00ee ji bo h\u00easankirina bazirgan\u00eeya dual\u00ee vedikolin. Hinardekirina Tirk\u00eey\u00ea bo S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea di sala 2025an de li gor\u00ee sala 2024an %69 z\u00eade b\u00fb \u00fb gih\u00ee\u015ft 2.56 milyar dolar\u00ee, ku ev yek guhertinek di t\u00eakil\u00eey\u00ea de ji pi\u015ftgir\u00eeya s\u00eeyas\u00ee ber bi z\u00eadekirina entegrasyona abor\u00ee \u00fb bazirgan\u00eey\u00ea n\u00ee\u015fan dide.<\/p>\n

Ev veb\u00fbna liserhev dibe ku ten\u00eat\u00eeya bazirgan\u00eey\u00ea sivik bike, l\u00ea ew xetereyek avah\u00eesaz\u00eey\u00ea hildigire: veguherandina S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea bo bazarek hinardekirina Tirk\u00eey\u00ea li \u015f\u00fbna bingehek hilber\u00eena serbixwe. Dema ku kel\u00fbpel\u00ean Tirk\u00eey\u00ea bi awayek\u00ee b\u00easer\u00fbberderbas\u00ee bazarek hilwe\u015f\u00eeyay\u00ee dibin, dih\u00ealin ku ew \u015f\u00eeyana kargeh\u00ean S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea ji bo vej\u00een\u00ea qels bibe. Wek\u00ee din, gir\u00eadana bankay\u00ee \u00fb bazirgan\u00eey\u00ea bi Tirk\u00eey\u00ea re dikare desthilatdar\u00eeya demdir\u00eaj li ser biryardana abor\u00ee ya S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea, nemaze di sektor\u00ean p\u00ee\u015fesaz\u00ee, veguhastin \u00fb dergehan de, bi taybet li bakur\u00ea S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea \u00fb Heleb\u00ea, bide Enqer\u00ea.<\/p>\n

Senaryoy\u00ean gengaz:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Eger rew\u015fa S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea bi v\u00ee away\u00ee bi r\u00ea ve bi\u00e7e, w\u00ea kir\u00eeza desthilatdar\u00eeya s\u00fbr\u00ee ji kir\u00eeza abor\u00ee derbas\u00ee kir\u00eeza rewab\u00fbna s\u00eeyas\u00ee j\u00ee bibe. \u00c7imk\u00ee welat\u00eey\u00ean s\u00fbr\u00ee \u00ead\u00ee nema dikarin j\u00eeyana xwe bi soz dervey\u00ee ve gir\u00eabidin, nemaze eger jihevqutb\u00fbn di navbera pilebilind\u00ean desthilatdar\u00eey\u00ea \u00fb tor\u00ean s\u00fbdb\u00een de mezintir bibe, her wiha di navbera wan \u00fb \u00e7\u00eena nav\u00een a xizan \u00fb west\u00eeyay\u00ee ji al\u00eeyek\u00ee din ve.<\/p>\n

Gengaz e ku asta rexne \u00fb neraz\u00eeb\u00fbn\u00ean li nav al\u00eegir\u00ean desthilatdar\u00eey\u00ea j\u00ee bilindtir bibe ne ten\u00ea ji dijber\u00ean w\u00ea. Ev yek d\u00ea du vebijarkan bide hik\u00fbmeta Ehmed El-\u015earaa:Yan r\u00eayeke reform\u00ea ya rast\u00een bigire ku zelal\u00eeyeke daray\u00ee, n\u00fbnert\u00eeya berfirehtir, ewleh\u00eeya kontrolkir\u00ee \u00fb k\u00eamkirina gir\u00eadana bazirgan\u00eey\u00ea bi saz\u00eey\u00ean b\u00eeyan\u00ee ve; yan j\u00ee ten\u00ea ser\u00ee li propagandaya medyay\u00ee bide, ku ev yek d\u00ea bibe sedema hilwe\u015f\u00eena h\u00ead\u00ee h\u00ead\u00ee ya rewat\u00eeya w\u00ea ya civak\u00ee.<\/p>\n

Ger \u015fer\u00ea \u00ceran\u00ea dir\u00eaj bibe, \u015f\u00eeyana welat\u00ean Kendav\u00ea ya f\u00eenansekirina S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea d\u00ea h\u00een b\u00eatir k\u00eam bibe, \u00fb abor\u00eeya S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea dibe ku ji abor\u00eeyek vej\u00een\u00ea b\u00eatir bibe abor\u00eeyek xwexilaskirin\u00ea. Her \u00e7end \u015fer z\u00fb biqede j\u00ee, ev yek nay\u00ea wateya ku bibe sedema p\u00ea\u015fketinek\u00ea li S\u00fbr\u00eeyay\u00ea. Vegerandina bawer\u00eey\u00ea dem\u00ea dixwze, \u00fb welat\u00ean Kendav\u00ea \u00fb kompanyay\u00ean navnetewey\u00ee d\u00ea ber\u00ee dan\u00eena pereyan garant\u00eey\u00ean ewleh\u00ee \u00fb qan\u00fbn\u00ee bixwazin. Ji ber v\u00ea yek\u00ea, dibe ku bidaw\u00eeb\u00fbna \u015fer ji \u015eam\u00ea re b\u00eahnvedanek be, l\u00ea ew \u00ea vej\u00een\u00ea bi xwe re ney\u00eene heya ku hik\u00fbmet n\u00eaz\u00eekat\u00ee \u00fb bir\u00eavebirina xwe li hember navxweya s\u00fbr\u00ee neguher\u00eene.<\/p>\n

Senaryoya her\u00ee xeternak ew e ku S\u00fbr\u00eeya bibe welatek\u00ee ku ji bo bazirgan\u00eeya derve vekir\u00ee be l\u00ea ji bo hilber\u00eena navxwey\u00ee girt\u00ee be: bazarek ji bo kel\u00fbpel\u00ean Tirk\u00eeyey\u00ea, kor\u00eedorek\u00a0 ji bo bazirgan\u00eeya her\u00eam\u00ee, \u00fb r\u00fbberek ji bo soz\u00ean derengmay\u00ee y\u00ean Kendav\u00ea, l\u00ea b\u00eay\u00ee p\u00ee\u015fesaz\u00eeyek netewey\u00ee, \u00e7andin\u00eeyek vejand\u00ee, yan saz\u00eey\u00ean daray\u00ee y\u00ean p\u00eabawer. Ev senaryo d\u00ea bip\u00ea\u015fde\u00e7\u00fbn \u00fb mezinb\u00fbneke \u015fekil\u00ee di hejmaran de \u00e7\u00eake, l\u00ea her w\u00ea xizan\u00eey\u00ea z\u00eadetir bike \u00fb xwesipartina li pi\u015ftgir\u00eeya dervey\u00ee k\u00fbrtir bike.<\/p>\n

L\u00ea senaryoya her\u00ee er\u00ean\u00ee ew e ku desthilatdar\u00ee ji mentiq\u00ea bir\u00eavebirina biserketin\u00ea ber bi mentiq\u00ea avakirina dewlet\u00ea ve bi\u00e7e. Ev t\u00ea wateya ku hik\u00fbmeteke ji al\u00eey\u00ea n\u00fbnert\u00eey\u00ea ve berfirehtir be \u00fb di mijar\u00ean perey\u00ean desteserkir\u00ee \u00fb qan\u00fbn\u00ean veberh\u00eanan\u00ea de zelal be, her wiha p\u00ee\u015fesazyia xwecih\u00ee bipar\u00eaze \u00fb ewlekar\u00eey\u00ea kontrol bike, \u00fb her pi\u015ftgir\u00eeyeke welat\u00ean kendav\u00ee yan Tirk\u00eeyay\u00ea yan j\u00ee projey\u00ean rojavay\u00ee bi projey\u00ean berheman\u00een\u00ea ve gir\u00eabide, ne ku bi gotareke s\u00eeyas\u00ee ya demkurt ve. B\u00eay\u00ee w\u00ea, w\u00ea S\u00fbr\u00eeya her di \u00e7ar\u00e7oveya soz\u00ean mezin \u00fb encam\u00ean pi\u00e7\u00fbk de bim\u00eene.<\/p>\n

[1]<\/a> Tora POMEPS DYA, 2026 https:\/\/n9.cl\/c59u0<\/a><\/p>\n

[2]<\/a> Risk Advisory ya bir\u00eetan\u00ee, 15 \u00c7iley\u00ea 2026 \u00a0https:\/\/n9.cl\/m5iokc<\/a><\/p>\n

[3]<\/a> Wezareta Xez\u00eeneya Amer\u00eekay\u00ea 23 Gulana 2025 https:\/\/n9.cl\/oddxa5<\/a><\/p>\n

[4]<\/a> \u00a0Belfer Center, 23 Kan\u00fbna 2025 https:\/\/n9.cl\/6knlkh<\/a><\/p>\n

[5]<\/a> \u00a0El-Ereb\u00ee El-Ced\u00eed, 28 N\u00eesana 2026 https:\/\/n9.cl\/688au<\/a><\/p>\n

[6]<\/a> Aajansa Rueters, 1 Gulana 2026, https:\/\/n9.cl\/gfy4b5<\/a><\/p>\n

[7]<\/a> \u00a0Anti-Corruption Resource Centre 6 Adara 2026 https:\/\/n9.cl\/7pznfi<\/a><\/p>\n

[8]<\/a> \u00a0Rojnameya El-Sewra ya s\u00fbr\u00ee, 5 \u00c7iley\u00ea 2026 https:\/\/n9.cl\/swubp9<\/a><\/p>\n

[9]<\/a> Ajansa Sanay\u00ea, 11 Sibata 2026 https:\/\/n9.cl\/uzlc1<\/a><\/p>\n

[10]<\/a> \u00a0DW, 22 Cotmeh 2025 https:\/\/n9.cl\/rveqo<\/a><\/p>\n

[11]<\/a> Small Wars Journal, 25 Adara 2026 \u00a0https:\/\/n9.cl\/edrs7<\/a><\/p>\n

[12]<\/a> Wezareta \u015fer\/parastin a Amer\u00eekay\u00ea, N\u00eesana 2026 https:\/\/n9.cl\/6rbpm<\/a><\/p>\n

[13]<\/a> FDD, 24 N\u00eesana 2026 https:\/\/n9.cl\/d7siom<\/a><\/p>\n

[14]<\/a> AP, 1 Gulana 2026 https:\/\/n9.cl\/2bs6o<\/a><\/p>\n

[15]<\/a> Peymangeha Rojhilata Nav\u00een, MEI. 23 N\u00eesana 2026 https:\/\/n9.cl\/othe2<\/a><\/p>\n

[16]<\/a> Ajansa Ruetres, 10 N\u00eesana 2026 https:\/\/n9.cl\/mzpkuu<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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